Whelp, I 'won' in the Mulligan round of Bitter Woods and advanced to the second round tomorrow. My opponent was a very experienced player who is friends with Randy Heller (designer of Bitter Woods). He was gracious enough to coach me through the first couple turns. That combined with his ice cold die rolling allowed me to hold on for a win as the Americans. And I literally mean hold on. I don't think I made an attack all game. I fell back and denied him the victory hexes.
I have a feeling I am going to be squashed like a bug tomorrow morning.
The real upside is that Compass is offering pretty much all of it's current games at 50% off here at the Con. Looking at picking up Korea: Fire and Ice as well as South China Sea.