Armchair Dragoons Forums

Wargaming => Intel Dump => Topic started by: bayonetbrant on July 04, 2019, 07:52:39 AM

Title: Predictive Math Analysis of BGG Game Ratings
Post by: bayonetbrant on July 04, 2019, 07:52:39 AM

As you can guess, the model accurately predicts generally lower ratings for wargames, until you get to the histograms at the end, and maybe the wargamers actually have a little pull after all?

https://medium.com/@SoporificVacuum/whats-in-a-bgg-rating-5b769d53e2ac

Title: Re: Predictive Math Analysis of BGG Game Ratings
Post by: bayonetbrant on July 04, 2019, 09:00:46 AM

I think as an initial pass thru the data, there's something interesting there. I think what will make it more meaningful is to offer predictive stats of what new games *should* be ranked and then compare 6 months later

Title: Re: Predictive Math Analysis of BGG Game Ratings
Post by: bayonetbrant on July 04, 2019, 09:01:41 AM

Also of note, I didn't see anything about controlling for who designed the game. We know some designers have large fanboy crowds